FOREX MARKET

EUR/USD Forex Market Hanging on as German Economy Shrinks – Securities.io


  • GBP Suffering on Worst Ever PMI Data
  • Poor German Results Also Hampering Euro
  • More Than 20m US Jobs Lost in April

Both Pound and Euro forex trading with the US Dollar was under pressure early on Wednesday. The Sterling slump below $1.24 was hastened by the release of an all-time record low PMI, while the Euro also stagnated around $1.08 and down for the third session in a row. This as the US prepares to step out of the shadow of the coronavirus outbreak and move towards a reopening of some kind on a state determined basis in the coming weeks.

Sterling Dips as Construction Suffers

With the UK having been under lockdown for the past seven weeks, it comes as no surprise that the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) was well down, coming in at a record low of 13.4 for April. The hardest hit sector by far though was construction. The number for this sector fell to 8.2 from a previous month of 39.3. This has come in at well below what economists had forecast, and sets another bleak, all-time record low.

Some lightening of restrictions, a move that is widely expected from British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the coming days, will be very well received in the sector, and across the wider economy. The leader, speaking on his first day back in the British Parliament, suggested that the nation may move toward a new phase of fighting the virus from as soon as next Monday.

Euro Remains Defensive throughout the Week

After a positive push last week and a gain in three consecutive sessions, the EUR/USD has reverted in the opposite direction with three straight daily losses to sit at $1.08. This sell-off has been widely driven by the decision of the German constitutional court on Tuesday. The court ruled that the ECB bond buying scheme, a measure for providing stimulus, should be justified within three months. If not, they risk losing the support of Bundesbank. This is a move that has plunged the future of the stimulus and Euro as a whole into some doubt.

Combining this with a contraction of more than 15% in German factory orders for the month, and more underwhelming PMI data to come, and forex brokers have noted a strong move away from the Euro.

US Private Payrolls See Huge Drop with Continued Layoffs

Job losses reached unprecedented levels in the US according to April payroll numbers from the ADP. The total number of 20,236,000 is by far the largest job loss in the history of the survey, dating back to 2002.

This number far eclipses previous highs at a time when the entire world grapples with the coronavirus and efforts to get back to work as soon as possible. The job losses continue to mount further as new just released from Uber say’s that they will lay off 3,700 employees, 14% of the total workforce at the ride-hailing company.

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